The big story heading into tonight’s game is how the Denver Nuggets have not won in Orlando since I was a senior in high school.
By the way, I am old.
March 10, 1992 was the last time the Nuggets left the floor in Orlando victorious. It took what was probably a career night from Mark Macon to pull off an 89-82 victory. Since then the Nuggets have gone 0-15 in Orlando. Here is the ugly history.
|Season||Score||Den High Scorer||Orl High Scorer|
|92-93||111-99||Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf 25||Shaquille O’Neal 24|
|93-94||95-88||Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf 22||Shaquille O’Neal 29|
|94-95||120-96||Reggie Slater 16||Shaquille O’Neal 24|
|95-96||121-93||Dale Ellis 18||Shaquille O’Neal 30|
|96-97||99-86||LaPhonso Ellis 24||Penny Hardaway 22|
|97-98||103-85||Johnny Newman 23||Horace Grant 21|
|99-00||110-107||Antonio McDyess 35||John Amaechi 31|
|00-01||103-93||Antonio McDyess 28||Tracy McGrady 36|
|01-02||124-102||Juwan Howard 20||Tracy McGrady 30|
|02-03||111-98||Juwan Howard 19||Tracy McGrady 43*|
|03-04||102-98||Carmelo Anthony 35||Juwan Howard 24|
|04-05||117-95||DerMarr Johnson 18||Cuttino Mobley 19|
|05-06||94-83||Carmelo Anthony 23||DeShawn Stevenson 18|
|06-07||108-99||Carmelo Anthony 34||Keyon Dooling 24|
|07-08||109-98||Carmelo Anthony 32||Rashard Lewis 25|
*McGrady outscored the Nuggets 37-32 in the first half by himself.
That all equates to an average score of 108.5 to 94.7. Not only have the Nuggets not won in Orlando during this stretch, they have only been within six points (two possessions) twice. Interestinlgy this will be the fifth season in a row where the Nuggets must play in Orland the night after playing in Miami. Some may think that is unfair to the Nuggets, but it is equally as unfair to the Heat. Over the previous three seasons Denver has won in Miami only to go to Orlando the next night and lose. Should Denver lose tonight it will extend that streak to four seasons. Don’t you think Miami would like to see the Nuggets play in Orlando and then have to travel to Miami to play the second half of the back to back?
The bad news for the Nuggets is this is arguably the best team in Magic franchise history. They are certainly on pace to have the best record in franchise history this season. There is some hope amongst Nugget fans that because Jameer Nelson is injured Orlando is ripe for the picking. Nelson was a well deserving All-Star this season and his loss is a painful one for the Magic, but this team is deep enough to keep cruising without Nelson running the show.
Without Jameer they have gone 2-1 (although they lost the game he was injured in at home to Dallas so you could make an argument they are 2-2 without him) with home blowout wins over the Clippers and Nets and a road loss at Indiana.
What makes the Magic a deadly team is their three point shooting. Thanks to Dwight Howard they get a lot of open looks due to the fact that defenses must collapse on him in the post. However, Nelson did generate a lot of open looks himself due to his ability to penetrate and kick. In the first meeting this season Nelson was in the lane all night long. Neither Chauncey nor Anthony Carter could keep up with him. Obviously his absence is a big key to this game, but Denver cannot just expect to show up and win because he is out.
Denver is most likely going to be without a vital player as well in Chris “Birdman” Andersen although he is listed as questionable. Nene has struggled with foul trouble pretty frequently this season. He is third in the NBA in total fouls at 191 (one behind Andris Biedrins and three behind Jason Thompson) and is fifth in fouls per game. (This has nothing to do with anything, but Roy Hibbert leads the NBA in fouls per 48 minutes at 10.1 per game. Sorry, one more because it has to do with the Nuggets. There are only two players who are not centers or power forwards in the top 30 for fouls per 48 minutes. Dahntay Jones has the highest rate of fouls per 48 minutes of any player who is not a post player at 6.3.)
Getting back on task here Nene fouled out in only 17 minutes against Howard the first time they played this season. Denver cannot afford a repeat of that performance. With Birdzilla questionable (and I think most likely out) the Nuggets are going to have to rely on either Kenyon Martin or Johan Petro to guard Howard and I do not look forward to the results under either of those circumstances. It might make some sense to play zone in that situation, but because Orlando is such a great perimeter team there is no way you can. I think Denver will have to double Howard with J.R. or Dahntay in order to get the tallest player possible hounding him. If Billups or AC double it is easier for Howard to pass out. The extra three or four inches of reach between the Nuggets’ shooting guards compared to their point guards may not sound like much, but it can make a difference when it comes to harassing a post player.
I would like to see Denver go as big as possible, especially when Nene is out by utilizing Balkman off the bench instead of Carter. There is no player on the Magic such as a Dwyane Wade who Anthony Carter is needed to cover. Why not put Balkman in to help on the boards and to provide energy that may be lacking after a hard fought game in Miami.
This is the last game of a five game roadie (I refuse to call this an eight game road trip when they have six days off in the middle of it) and the Nuggets have a chance to put a big notch in the win column tonight by beating an elite team and putting a stake in the heart of this losing streak. A 4-1 trip heading into the break would be a very good accomplishment for the Nuggets and it could serve as a springboard into the last couple of months of the season.
Update: As suspected Chris Andersen is out tonight.
Previous Matchup: Game 41 – Den 88 Orl 106
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