Get ready for a bunch of numbers and jibber jabber to prepare you for game four of the NBA Western Conference Semifinals between the Denver Nuggets and the Dallas Mavericks, next on TNT.
There have been 86 instances where an NBA team has had a 3-0 lead in a best of seven series. Denver and Cleveland are numbers 87 and 88.
Out of the previous 86 series where a team has taken a 3-0 lead into game four, they have gone on to win game four 52 times (60.5% sweep rate). An additional 25 series (29.1%) ended in game five. Only six series (went six games 7.0%) and three of the 86 series (3.5%) went the full seven games. If you have been paying attention, that leaves zero series where the team up 3-0 has gone on to lose the series.
As the Boston Red Sox proved back in 2004, that which has never been accomplished is not necessarily impossible, just unbelievably unlikely. At this point I will gladly take the 3-0 lead as opposed to the chance to make history.
From the Mavericks’ standpoint we are left to wonder how they will react to the devastation from the inability to foul convincingly in a game where there 1.3 fouls per minute. Do they bounce back and try to get back at the officials by delivering a butt whooping or do they fade away into the night like a broken man having watched his wife violated by her lover? Sorry, I do not know where that came from.
Getting back to the topic of tasks never before completed, guess what franchise has never swept a playoff series of any length? You guessed it the Denver Rockets/ABA Nuggets/NBA Nuggets have never swept anybody. Check it out for yourself, I did. How does that news strike you?
Basically tonight we get to see what will happen out of a range of unlikely options. History tells us the majority of series where a team has a 3-0 lead end in sweeps, however, history also tells us the Nuggets are not going to sweep anyone and what are the chances of them beating a quality team nine times in a row?
On the other hand Dallas has a chance to commence on a comeback journey the likes no NBA team has ever completed while having to put aside their feelings of dejection and heartbreak from roughly 50 hours prior.
I have no idea what will happen. Is it possible both teams will lose?
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